Dissecting draft pick value: using our model to assess pick value and analyze draft day trades

Draft and develop is often a term you hear next to <insert successful team here>’s success. Drafting well is paramount in the salary cap era and the reason for that is simple. Getting strong production at ‘entry level salary’ is excellent value and gives you the luxury of allocating the excess money to other areas. … More Dissecting draft pick value: using our model to assess pick value and analyze draft day trades

Using Micro Data to identify offensive defensemen

In part 1 of our segment, we reviewed the clear correlation between controlled zone entries and 5v5 primary points production. You can read that in detail here. (Note: It’s again worth noting that micro data is not readily available. Corey Sznajder (@ShutdownLine) graciously made some of his raw output available – which we used here … More Using Micro Data to identify offensive defensemen

Using micro data to understand the correlation between production and zone entries

The amounts of data that are readily available in hockey pale in comparison to some of the other sports. A primary reason for that is the continuous nature of hockey. It’s non-stop. Baseball, by comparison, is “one play at a time” (e.g., the game ‘stops’ between each pitch). Corey Sznajder (@ShutdownLine), who manually compiles micro … More Using micro data to understand the correlation between production and zone entries

Overview of some the top value 3rd pairing defensemen

We analyzed some of the best value top pairing defensemen (link here) and 2nd pairing defensemen (link here). While getting top production at strong market value is paramount, finding good value throughout the lineup is also important. Today we take a quick look at some of the better value contracts of 3rd pairing defensemen. A couple things … More Overview of some the top value 3rd pairing defensemen

Ryan Johansen: Predators wise to lock up RJ long-term

The Predators recently signed C Ryan Johansen to an 8-year $64M contract (cap hit of $8M per season). Today we break down RJ across our 3 criteria for evaluating centers and analyze his relative market value: Possession driving ability (i.e., be a strong possession player and elevate your teammates) Offensive ability (i.e., scoring chance generation) … More Ryan Johansen: Predators wise to lock up RJ long-term

Overview of some of the top-value 2nd pairing puck-moving defensemen

We analyzed some of the best value top pairing defensemen here. While getting top production at strong market value is paramount, finding good value throughout the lineup is also important. Today we take a quick look at some of the better value contracts of 2nd pairing defensemen. A couple things to note: + We rank … More Overview of some of the top-value 2nd pairing puck-moving defensemen

Using QoC adjusted puck movement to assess the value of defensive contracts

Assessing value is still very rudimentary because many simply rely on points produced and use metrics such as $ per goal scored or $ per primary assist achieved. While there are no ‘perfect’ approaches, the one commonly used as described above has two major flaws: 1. Goals and assists limit you to evaluating forwards and … More Using QoC adjusted puck movement to assess the value of defensive contracts

Using QoC to create defensive ‘tiers’ for more accurate comparison and evaluation

Quality of competition makes player analysis difficult. It tilts the scale. You can’t compare two players if one has faced tough opposing players while the other plays against 3rd and 4th liners. We’ve continuously refined our QoC metric. We started by using average opponent corsi weighted by ice time against. While this is directional and … More Using QoC to create defensive ‘tiers’ for more accurate comparison and evaluation

2016/17 Power Play Rankings – Defensemen

We introduced our defensemen power play metric over a week ago (link here), and used a Shea Weber vs Erik Karlsson example to breakdown the 2-lens approach we took towards evaluating special teams ability. 1. Power Play QB / Play Making ability – this measures a defenseman’s ability to control possession, generate scoring chances, make … More 2016/17 Power Play Rankings – Defensemen